add planning document from the wikia rise and declines project.
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planning_documents/rad_revisited_wikia_2018/Makefile
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planning_documents/rad_revisited_wikia_2018/Makefile
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#!/usr/bin/make
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all: $(patsubst %.tex,%.pdf,$(wildcard *.tex))
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# use the following section for Rnw/knitr documents
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# all: $(patsubst %.Rnw,%.pdf,$(wildcard *.Rnw))
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# %.tex: %.Rnw
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# Rscript -e "library(knitr); knit('$<')"
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%.pdf: %.tex refs.bib
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latexmk -f -pdf $<
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clean:
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latexmk -f -pdf -c *.tex
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rm -f *.tmp
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# the following lines are useful for Rnw/knitr
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# rm -rf cache/ figure/
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# rm -f *.tex
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viewpdf: all
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evince *.pdf
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spell:
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aspell -c -t --tex-check-comments -b text.tex
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vc:
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vc-git
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.PHONY: clean all refs.bib
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.PRECIOUS: %.tex
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planning_documents/rad_revisited_wikia_2018/mako-mem.sty
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planning_documents/rad_revisited_wikia_2018/mako-mem.sty
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% Some article styles and page layout tweaks for the LaTeX Memoir class.
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%
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% Copyright 2009 Benjamin Mako Hill <mako@atdot.cc>
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% Copyright 2008-2009 Kieran Healy <kjhealy@soc.duke.edu>
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% Distributed as free software under the GNU GPL v3
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% This file is heavily based on one by Kieran Healy
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% available here: http://github.com/kjhealy/latex-custom-kjh/
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\usepackage{lastpage}
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% blank footnote
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% Use \symbolfootnote[0]{Footnote text} for a blank footnote.
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% Useful for initial acknowledgment note.
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\long\def\symbolfootnote[#1]#2{\begingroup%
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\def\thefootnote{\fnsymbol{footnote}}\footnote[#1]{#2}\endgroup}
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% put a period after the section numbers
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\setsecnumformat{\csname the#1\endcsname.\enspace}
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% >> article-1 <<
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\makechapterstyle{article-1}{
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\renewcommand{\rmdefault}{ugm}
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\renewcommand{\sfdefault}{phv}
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\setsecheadstyle{\large\scshape}
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\setsubsecheadstyle{\normalsize\itshape}
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\renewcommand{\printchaptername}{}
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\renewcommand{\chapternamenum}{}
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\renewcommand{\chapnumfont}{\chaptitlefont}
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\renewcommand{\printchapternum}{\chapnumfont \thechapter\space}
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\renewcommand{\afterchapternum}{}
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\renewcommand{\printchaptername}{\secheadstyle}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterfont}{\normalfont}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterpagefont}{\normalfont\scshape}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterpresnum}{\scshape}
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\captiontitlefont{\small}
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% turn off chapter numbering
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\counterwithout{section}{chapter}
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\counterwithout{figure}{chapter}
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\counterwithout{table}{chapter}
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% reduce skip after section heading
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\setaftersecskip{1.2ex}
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\pretitle{\newline\centering \LARGE\scshape \MakeLowercase }
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\posttitle{\par\vskip 1em}
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\predate{\footnotesize \centering}
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\postdate{\par\vskip 1em}
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% 'abstract' title, bigger skip from title
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\renewcommand{\abstractname}{}
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\abstractrunin
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% set name of bibliography to 'references'
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\renewcommand{\bibname}{References}
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}
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% >> article-2 <<
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\makechapterstyle{article-2}{
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\renewcommand{\rmdefault}{ugm}
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\renewcommand{\sfdefault}{phv}
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\setsecheadstyle{\large\scshape}
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\setsubsecheadstyle{\normalsize\itshape}
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\setaftersubsubsecskip{-1em}
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\setsubsubsecheadstyle{\bfseries}
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\renewcommand{\printchaptername}{}
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\renewcommand{\chapternamenum}{}
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\renewcommand{\chapnumfont}{\chaptitlefont}
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\renewcommand{\printchapternum}{\chapnumfont \thechapter\space}
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\renewcommand{\afterchapternum}{}
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\renewcommand{\printchaptername}{\secheadstyle}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterfont}{\normalfont}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterpagefont}{\normalfont\scshape}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterpresnum}{\scshape}
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\captiontitlefont{\small}
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% turn off chapter numbering
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\counterwithout{section}{chapter}
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\counterwithout{figure}{chapter}
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\counterwithout{table}{chapter}
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% supress chapter numbers
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\maxsecnumdepth{chapter}
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\setsecnumdepth{chapter}
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% for numbered sections and subsections:
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% (a) comment out the above stanza; (b) uncomment the one below
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% \maxsecnumdepth{subsection}
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% \setsecnumdepth{subsection}
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% reduce skip after section heading
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\setaftersecskip{1.7ex}
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% Title flush left
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\pretitle{\flushleft\LARGE \itshape}
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\posttitle{\par\vskip 0.5em}
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\preauthor{\flushleft \large \lineskip 1em}
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\postauthor{\par\lineskip 1em}
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\predate{\flushleft\footnotesize\vspace{0.65em}}
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\postdate{\par\vskip 1em}
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% 'abstract' title, bigger skip from title
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\renewcommand{\abstractname}{Abstract:}
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\renewcommand{\abstractnamefont}{\normalfont\small\bfseries}
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\renewcommand{\abstracttextfont}{\normalfont\small}
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\setlength{\absparindent}{0em}
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\setlength{\abstitleskip}{-1.5em}
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\abstractrunin
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% set name of bibliography to 'references'
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\renewcommand{\bibname}{References}
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}
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% >> article-3 <<
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\makechapterstyle{article-3}{
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\renewcommand{\rmdefault}{ugm}
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\renewcommand{\sfdefault}{phv}
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\setsecheadstyle{\large\sffamily\bfseries\MakeUppercase}
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\setsubsecheadstyle{\normalsize\itshape}
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\setaftersubsubsecskip{-1em}
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\setsubsubsecheadstyle{\small\bfseries}
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\renewcommand{\printchaptername}{}
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\renewcommand{\chapternamenum}{}
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\renewcommand{\chapnumfont}{\chaptitlefont}
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\renewcommand{\printchapternum}{\chapnumfont \thechapter\space}
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\renewcommand{\afterchapternum}{}
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\renewcommand{\printchaptername}{\secheadstyle}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterfont}{\normalfont}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterpagefont}{\normalfont\scshape}
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\renewcommand{\cftchapterpresnum}{\scshape}
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\captiontitlefont{\small}
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% turn off chapter numbering
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\counterwithout{section}{chapter}
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\counterwithout{figure}{chapter}
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\counterwithout{table}{chapter}
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% supress chapter numbers
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\maxsecnumdepth{chapter}
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\setsecnumdepth{chapter}
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% reduce skip after section heading
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\setaftersecskip{1pt}
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\setbeforesecskip{-1em}
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% 'abstract' title, bigger skip from title
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% \renewcommand{\maketitle}{\{\preauthor \theauthor\} \hfill \thetitle}
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\renewcommand{\maketitle}{
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{\Large\sffamily\bfseries\MakeUppercase\thetitle} \hfill
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{\Large\sffamily\MakeUppercase\theauthor}
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\vskip 0.7em}
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\renewcommand{\abstractname}{\normalfont\scriptsize\noindent}
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\renewcommand{\abstracttextfont}{\normalfont\scriptsize}
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\abstractrunin
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% set name of bibliography to 'references'
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\renewcommand{\bibname}{References}
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\parindent 0pt
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}
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%%% Custom styles for headers and footers
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%%% Basic
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\makepagestyle{mako-mem}
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%\makeevenfoot{mako-mem}{\thepage}{}{}
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%\makeoddfoot{mako-mem}{}{}{\thepage}
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%\makeheadrule{mako-mem}{\textwidth}{\normalrulethickness}
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\newcommand{\@makomarks}{%
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\let\@mkboth\markboth
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\def\chaptermark##1{%
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\markboth{%
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\ifnum \c@secnumdepth >\m@ne
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\if@mainmatter
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\thechapter. \ %
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\fi
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\fi
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##1}{}}
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\def\sectionmark##1{%
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\markright{##1}}
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}
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\makepsmarks{mako-mem}{\@makomarks}
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\makepsmarks{mako-mem}{}
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\makeevenhead{mako-mem}{}{}{\scshape\thepage}
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\makeoddhead{mako-mem}{}{}{\scshape\thepage}
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%%% version control info in footers; requires vc package
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% Make the style for vc-git revision control headers and footers
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\makepagestyle{mako-mem-git}
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\newcommand{\@gitmarks}{%
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\let\@mkboth\markboth
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\def\chaptermark##1{%
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\markboth{%
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\ifnum \c@secnumdepth >\m@ne
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\if@mainmatter
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\thechapter. \ %
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\fi
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\fi
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##1}{}}
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\def\sectionmark##1{%
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\markright{##1}}
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}
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\makepsmarks{mako-mem-git}{\@gitmarks}
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\makeevenhead{mako-mem-git}{}{}{\scshape\thepage}
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\makeoddhead{mako-mem-git}{}{}{\scshape\thepage}
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\makeevenfoot{mako-mem-git}{}{\texttt{\footnotesize{\textcolor{BrickRed}{git revision \VCRevision\ on \VCDateTEX}}}}{}
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\makeoddfoot{mako-mem-git}{}{\texttt{\footnotesize \textcolor{BrickRed}{git revision \VCRevision\ on \VCDateTEX}}}{}
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%% Create a command to make a note at the top of the first page describing the
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%% publication status of the paper.
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\newcommand{\published}[1]{%
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\gdef\puB{#1}}
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\newcommand{\puB}{}
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\renewcommand{\maketitlehooka}{%
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\par\noindent\footnotesize \puB}
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\makepagestyle{memo}
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\makeevenhead{memo}{}{}{}
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\makeoddhead{memo}{}{}{}
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\makeevenfoot{memo}{}{\scshape \thepage/\pageref{LastPage}}{}
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\makeoddfoot{memo}{}{\scshape \thepage/\pageref{LastPage}}{}
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\endinput
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planning_documents/rad_revisited_wikia_2018/outline.pdf
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planning_documents/rad_revisited_wikia_2018/outline.pdf
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planning_documents/rad_revisited_wikia_2018/outline.tex
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planning_documents/rad_revisited_wikia_2018/outline.tex
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\documentclass[12pt]{memoir}
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% article-1 and article-2 styles were originally based on kieran healy's
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% templates
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\usepackage{mako-mem}
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\chapterstyle{article-2}
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% with article-3 \chapterstyle, change to: \pagestyle{memo}
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\pagestyle{mako-mem}
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\usepackage[utf8]{inputenc}
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\usepackage[T1]{fontenc}
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\usepackage{textcomp}
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\usepackage[garamond]{mathdesign}
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\usepackage[letterpaper,left=1.65in,right=1.65in,top=1.3in,bottom=1.2in]{geometry}
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% packages i use in essentially every document
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\usepackage{graphicx}
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\usepackage{enumerate}
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% packages i use in many documents but leave off by default
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% \usepackage{amsmath, amsthm, amssymb}
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% \usepackage{dcolumn}
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% \usepackage{endfloat}
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% import and customize urls
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\usepackage[usenames,dvipsnames]{color}
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\usepackage[breaklinks]{hyperref}
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\hypersetup{colorlinks=true, linkcolor=Black, citecolor=Black, filecolor=Blue,
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urlcolor=Blue, unicode=true}
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% add bibliographic stuff
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% add bibliographic stuff
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\usepackage[american]{babel}
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\usepackage{csquotes}
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\usepackage[natbib=true, style=apa, backend=biber]{biblatex}
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\addbibresource{refs.bib}
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\DeclareLanguageMapping{american}{american-apa}
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\defbibheading{secbib}[\bibname]{%
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\section*{#1}%
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\markboth{#1}{#1}%
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\baselineskip 14.2pt%
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\prebibhook}
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\def\citepos#1{\citeauthor{#1}'s (\citeyear{#1})}
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\def\citespos#1{\citeauthor{#1}' (\citeyear{#1})}
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% memoir function to take out of the space out of the whitespace lists
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\firmlists
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% LATEX NOTE: these lines will import vc stuff after running `make vc` which
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% will add version control information to the bottom of each page. This can be
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% useful for keeping track of which version of a document somebody has:
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\usepackage{tikz}
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\usetikzlibrary{arrows}
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\usetikzlibrary{positioning}
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\begin{document}
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\setlength{\parskip}{4.5pt}
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% LATEX NOTE: Ideal linespacing is usually said to be between 120-140% the
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% typeface size. So, for 12pt (default in this document, we're looking for
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% somewhere between a 14.4-17.4pt \baselineskip. Single; 1.5 lines; and Double
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% in MSWord are equivalent to ~117%, 175%, and 233%.
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\baselineskip 16pt
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\title{Outline: Reproducing the rise and decline of open participation
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platform}
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\author{Nathan TeBlunthuis\\
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\href{mailto:nathante@uw.edu}{nathante@uw.edu}} \date{}
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\published{\textsc{\textcolor{BrickRed}{This document is an
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unpublished draft.\\ Please do not distribute or cite without
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permission.}}}
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\maketitle
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\section{Rationale}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Commons based peer production (CBPP) communities are admired for
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their ability to coordinate work on complex goods by workers with
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diverse motivations, without reliance on formal hierarchy or market
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transaction \citep{benkler_coases_2002}. Understanding how peer
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production projects this is an important question for designing more
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``efficient and equitable'' systems for cooperative work on
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expanding categories of goods \citep{benkler_peer_2015}.
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\item The number of active contributors to Wikipedia rose rapidly in
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2005, but peaked in 2007 and began a gradual decline
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\citet{halfaker_rise_2013}. The decline is a source of concern for
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the long term success of peer production projects.
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\item CBPP systems are able to perform decentralized governance work
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to resolve disputes and manage resources
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\citep{forte_defining_2013}.
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\item However, as communities grow, territorial and controlling senior
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members of the community can sometimes appropriate governance
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systems to centralize power \citep{shaw_laboratories_2014}.
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\item Wikipedia's decline has been explained by process in which
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influxes of newcomers correspond with increasing strict or
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impersonal governance quality control and that these hurt newcomer
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retention \citep{halfaker_rise_2013}. \citet{halfaker_rise_2013}
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show that quality control mechanisms including contribution
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rejection, formal and calcified rules, and algorithmic tool are
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associated with newcomer dropout on Wikipedia.
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\item \citet{kiene_surviving_2016} similarly observe how an influx of
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newcomers lead an original horror fiction subreddit to develop
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stricter governance to preserve the community's distinctive culture
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and collective identity.
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\item \citet{halfaker_rise_2013} also hypothesize that Wikipedia
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increased impersonal governance to deal with the massive influx of
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newcomers caused by Wikipedia's popularity.
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\item However, evidence for this as a theory about peer production
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systems in general rather than a phenomenon specific to Wikipedia
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requires observing many communities. It is unknown whether the
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mechanisms described by \citep{halfaker_rise_2013} generalize to
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other wikis.
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\item This is important because this theory is informing design
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interventions on Wikipedia that aim to mitigate the decline by
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promoting newcomer socialization
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\citep{farzan_socializing_2012,morgan_tea_2013,narayan_wikipedia_2017,halfaker_snuggle:_2014}.
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\item Furthermore, it is informing the development of commons based
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peer production projects other than Wikipedia
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\citep{palen_success_2015}.
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\item If influxes of newcomers promote strict governance, and strict
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governance conversely decreases newcomer activity, complex dynamics
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may arise. Growth patterns are often bursty (though not on
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Wikipedia). Crises other than newcomer influxes might also promote
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strict governance. In an extreme case a community may experience
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many crisis periods each of which accompany increases in governance.
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If governance does not decrease during periods of non-growth, it
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will accumulate and in the long run the community will die as
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newcomer attention approaches zero.
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% \item Group size may interact with rule making, tool use, and newcomer
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% retention. Group size may be positively related to retention if
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% group size produces social incentives. \citet{zhang_group_2010}
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% show that an exogenous decrease in group size may have undermined
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% motivations to contribute to Chinese Wikipedia. On the other hand,
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% group size might also increase propensity of free--riding
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% behavior\citep{isaac_group_1994}.
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\end{itemize}
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\section{Objectives}
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\subsection{General Objectives}
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\label{sec:general-objectives}
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\begin{enumerate}
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\item Contribute to understanding the relationships between governance
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mechanisms and contributor retention in commons based peer
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production communities by synthesizing theories of how crises such
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as influxes of newcomers increase the accumulation rules and
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impersonal governance, which can threaten the long term health of
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the communities, with supporting statistical evidence from a large
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number of Wikia wikis.
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\end{enumerate}
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\subsection{Specific Objectives}
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\label{sec:specific-objectives}
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\begin{enumerate}
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\item Test hypotheses from \citet{halfaker_rise_2013} on a population
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of wikis using an econometric model of newcomer retention given
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rules, automated regulation tools, contribution rejection, group
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size, and interactions.
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\item Test the hypothesis that (controlling for damage) an increased
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rate of newcomer activity increases impersonal governance.
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\end{enumerate}
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\subsection{Meta Objective}
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\label{sec:meta-objectives}
|
||||
Nate to practice swift execution of a straightforward, important,
|
||||
good, and interesting article.
|
||||
|
||||
\section{Null Hypotheses}
|
||||
\label{sec:null-hypotheses}
|
||||
\begin{enumerate}
|
||||
\item Impersonal governance is not negatively related to newcomer
|
||||
retention.
|
||||
\begin{enumerate}
|
||||
\item \label{A} Rejected contributions do not have a negative relationship with
|
||||
newcomer survival.
|
||||
|
||||
\item \label{B} (given we reject \ref{A}) Talk page discussion
|
||||
following a rejected newcomer contribution is not related to a decrease in
|
||||
newcomer survival.
|
||||
|
||||
\item (given we reject \ref{B}) Use of a tool in rejecting a
|
||||
contribution is not related to a decrease in follow-up discussion in
|
||||
newcomer edits.
|
||||
|
||||
\item The formalization and calcification of rules is not related to a
|
||||
decrease in newcomer survival.
|
||||
\end{enumerate}
|
||||
|
||||
\item Increasing newcomer activity is not positively related to
|
||||
impersonal governance.
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{enumerate}
|
||||
\item The rate of change in newcomer contributions by newcomers is
|
||||
not related to increased rejection rate of newcomer contributions.
|
||||
|
||||
\item The rate of change in newcomer contributions is not related to
|
||||
increased rate of tool assisted rejection of newcomer contributions.
|
||||
|
||||
\item The rate of change in newcomer contributions is not related to
|
||||
decreased discussion following rejected newcomer contributions.
|
||||
|
||||
\item The rate of change in newcomer contributions has no relationship
|
||||
with rule accrual.
|
||||
\end{enumerate}
|
||||
\end{enumerate}
|
||||
|
||||
\clearpage
|
||||
|
||||
\section{Conceptual Model/Diagram}
|
||||
\label{sec:conc-modeld}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{figure}[h]
|
||||
\begin{tikzpicture} [->,>=stealth',shorten >=1pt,auto,
|
||||
thick,
|
||||
concept node/.style={rectangle,draw,font=\sffamily\bfseries},
|
||||
measure node/.style={rectangle,draw,font=\sffamily\bfseries,fill=blue!20}]
|
||||
|
||||
\node[concept node] (retention) [align=center]
|
||||
{Newcomer retention};
|
||||
|
||||
% \node[concept node] (population) [below of=retention,yshift=-10mm,align=center]
|
||||
% {Contributor population};
|
||||
|
||||
\node[concept node] (rules) [above of =retention,
|
||||
align=center,yshift=60mm]
|
||||
{Rules \\ (formalization,\\calcification)};
|
||||
|
||||
\node[concept node] (rejection) [left of = rules,
|
||||
align=center,xshift=-40mm]
|
||||
{Contribution rejected \\ (reverted, deleted)};
|
||||
|
||||
\node[concept node] (discussion) [below of = rules,
|
||||
align=center,yshift=-20mm,xshift=10mm]
|
||||
{Discussion \\ following rejection};
|
||||
|
||||
\node[concept node] (growth) [above of = rejection,
|
||||
align=center,yshift=30mm]
|
||||
{Increasing newcomer activity};
|
||||
\node[concept node] (tools) [right of =rejection,
|
||||
align=center,xshift=70mm,yshift=15mm]
|
||||
{Automated regulation tools \\ (e.g. bots, huggle)};
|
||||
\path[every node/.style={font=\sffamily}]
|
||||
(growth) edge node {+} (tools)
|
||||
(growth) edge [] node {+} (rules)
|
||||
(growth) edge [] node {+} (rejection)
|
||||
(growth) edge [bend right=10] node {-} (discussion)
|
||||
% (retention) edge node {+} (population)
|
||||
(rules) edge [bend right =20] node {-} (retention)
|
||||
(discussion) edge node {+} (retention)
|
||||
(rejection) edge node {-} (retention)
|
||||
(rejection) edge node {+} (discussion)
|
||||
(tools) edge node {-} (discussion)
|
||||
(tools) edge [bend left=30] node {-} (retention)
|
||||
(retention) edge [bend left=70] node {+} (growth);
|
||||
\end{tikzpicture}
|
||||
\caption{ Conceptual model: reproduction of
|
||||
\cite{halfaker_rise_2013}, with addition of newcomer activity}
|
||||
\end{figure}
|
||||
|
||||
\clearpage
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
\section{Measures}
|
||||
\label{sec:measures}
|
||||
|
||||
The study will have 5 models. The first model is for hypothesis
|
||||
1. The last 4 models are for hypothesis 2.
|
||||
\begin{enumerate}
|
||||
\item \label{mod.discrete} Discrete time survival model of newcomers.
|
||||
% \item \label{mod.cont} Contiguous time survival (Cox proportional hazards) model of
|
||||
% newcomers.
|
||||
\item Contribution rejection
|
||||
\item Rule accrual
|
||||
\item Automated tool accrual
|
||||
\item Interaction with newcomers
|
||||
\end{enumerate}
|
||||
|
||||
Data will be the 2010 Wikia dumps. Inclusion criteria will be broad.
|
||||
|
||||
The unit of analysis for model 1 is the newcomer. We will model random
|
||||
intercept variance terms for Wikis because partial pooling is more
|
||||
realistic than complete pooling and afford inclusion of the many small
|
||||
Wikis with activity levels and scales. Also Nate is comfortable
|
||||
working with lme4. \citep{halfaker_rise_2013} use fixed effects for
|
||||
year, which is fine, but we should also take a look at models with
|
||||
fixed effects for month as well.
|
||||
|
||||
For models 2-5 the unit of analysis will be the wiki. This model will
|
||||
have only two levels: Wiki and time. Again we will fit models with
|
||||
fixed effects for month and year.
|
||||
|
||||
For both models we will use heteroskedasticity robust standard
|
||||
errors.
|
||||
|
||||
For models 2-5 we will include autoregression terms (equivalent to
|
||||
adding lagged outcome variables to the RHS) for the depdendent
|
||||
variable (AR(1) or AR(2)).
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Newcomer retention}
|
||||
\label{sec:newcomer-retention}
|
||||
Following \citet{halfaker_rise_2013}, a new contributor is a logged-in
|
||||
editor in their first edit-session. The dependent variable for model
|
||||
\ref{mod.discrete} indicates whether a new contributor makes a
|
||||
subsequent edit within the next 2 months.
|
||||
|
||||
While \citet{halfaker_rise_2013} sampled a set of desirable newcomers
|
||||
to distinguish them from spammers and vandals. Doing this for a large
|
||||
number of Wikis would be very labor
|
||||
intensive. \citet{halfaker_rise_2013} results for their set of
|
||||
desirable newcomers point in the same direction as their results for
|
||||
all newcomers. We will analyze all newcomers without attempting to
|
||||
distinguish the desirable from the undesirable.
|
||||
|
||||
\subsubsection{Newcomer controls}
|
||||
\label{sec:newcomer-controls}
|
||||
Again following \citet{halfaker_rise_2013} we will include controls
|
||||
for the number of edits that a newcomer makes in their first session.
|
||||
|
||||
We will also include a count variable for the number of edits that
|
||||
newcomer has made on Wikia overall and an indicator for whether the
|
||||
newcomer has edited any other Wikia wikis.
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Rejected newcomer contributions}
|
||||
\label{sec:reject-newc-edits}
|
||||
After identifying newcomers, we can easily identify contributions they
|
||||
have made which have been rejected. These are (a.) edits which are
|
||||
reverted, or (b.) new articles which are deleted.
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Discussion following rejection}
|
||||
\label{sec:disc-foll-reject}
|
||||
After identifying rejected edits we can identify whether there is
|
||||
follow-up discussion according. Following \citet{halfaker_rise_2013}
|
||||
we will measure reciprocity in discussion, which is when the reverting
|
||||
editor posts to the talk page after the newcomer.
|
||||
|
||||
It is likely that the bold-revert-discuss (BRD) is not a strong norm
|
||||
on Wikia as it is on Wikipedia. Therefore we will also include
|
||||
indications of other forms of interaction between reverting editor and
|
||||
reverted newcomer (user talk page, talk page no matter who posts
|
||||
first, message wall).
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Automated regulation}
|
||||
\label{sec:automated-regulation}
|
||||
We will use Mako's tool for scraping admin and bot data from Wikia to
|
||||
identify bot accounts and detect edits made by these tools.
|
||||
|
||||
Find out if methods following \citep{geiger_defense_2012} can easily
|
||||
identify tool use on Wikia.
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Rules}
|
||||
\label{sec:rules}
|
||||
To measure rules we will track activity in namespace 4. Again
|
||||
following \citet{halfaker_rise_2013} we use the following variables
|
||||
for norm ``formalization''.
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{itemize}
|
||||
\item The number of total contributors who contributed to norms
|
||||
pages.
|
||||
\item The number of contributions to norms pages
|
||||
|
||||
\item The change in page length in a norm category
|
||||
\end{itemize}
|
||||
|
||||
And the following variables for norm ``calcification''
|
||||
\begin{itemize}
|
||||
\item The time since the first edit of a norm page editor (slightly
|
||||
different from \citet{halfaker_rise_2013}.
|
||||
\item Wiki age.
|
||||
\end{itemize}
|
||||
|
||||
We do not use the ``Essay'' category as it is Wikipedia specific.
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Increasing newcomer activity}
|
||||
\label{sec:incr-newc-activ}
|
||||
|
||||
We will estimate the rate of change of newcomer activity according to
|
||||
the change in newcomer (the rate of editing by with accounts less than
|
||||
2 months old) from one month to the next.
|
||||
|
||||
The outcome variables in models 2-5 are also rates of change and
|
||||
likewise we can model using first differences.
|
||||
|
||||
We will fit a number of alternative specifications using things like
|
||||
moving averages. We will aim to report the simplest model that makes a
|
||||
compelling and justified argument.
|
||||
|
||||
\section{Dummy Tables}
|
||||
\label{sec:dummy-tables}
|
||||
\begin{table}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\footnotesize
|
||||
\begin{tabular}[h!]{l|cc }
|
||||
\toprule
|
||||
Variable & Est & SE \\
|
||||
\midrule
|
||||
(Intercept) & . & . \\
|
||||
Time & . & . \\
|
||||
Session Edits & . & . \\
|
||||
Deleted & . & . \\
|
||||
Reverted & . & . \\
|
||||
Messaged & . & . \\
|
||||
Tool Revert & . & . \\
|
||||
Reciprocal Discussion & . & . \\
|
||||
|
||||
\bottomrule
|
||||
\end{tabular}
|
||||
\caption{Regression table for hypothesis 1}
|
||||
\end{table}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{table}
|
||||
\footnotesize
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{tabular}[h!]{l|cccccccc}
|
||||
\toprule
|
||||
Variable & M2. Est & M2.SE & M3. Est & M3.SE & M4.Est & M4.SE & M5. Est & M5.SE \\
|
||||
\midrule
|
||||
(Intercept) & . & . & . & . & . & . & . & . \\
|
||||
Time & . & . & . & . & . & . & . & . \\
|
||||
Active Editors & . & . & . & . & . & . & . & . \\
|
||||
Rate of editing overall & . & . & . & . & . & . & . & . \\
|
||||
Rate of newcomer edits & . & . & . & . & . & . & . & . \\
|
||||
Number of articles & . & . & . & . & . & . & . & . \\
|
||||
Total wiki length & . & . & . & . & . & . & . & . \\
|
||||
\bottomrule
|
||||
\end{tabular}
|
||||
\caption{Regression table for hypothesis 2}
|
||||
\end{table}
|
||||
|
||||
\section{Threats to Validity and Limitations}
|
||||
\label{sec:thre-valid-limit}
|
||||
\subsection{Measures}
|
||||
Our measures of ``discussion following rejection'' as an indication of the
|
||||
degree of impersonality in governance follows the prior work we aim to
|
||||
replicate. These measures are virtuous in their simplicity and
|
||||
clarity, but reduce complex interpersonal communication to counts of
|
||||
categories of interaction. This is a potential source of bias, noise,
|
||||
and a threat to construct and ecological validity.
|
||||
|
||||
We do not attempt to identify desirable vs undesirable
|
||||
newcomers. \citet{halfaker_rise_2013} did not find substantive
|
||||
differences between the two groups. However if we fail to fully
|
||||
replicate their findings, this could be a reason.
|
||||
|
||||
Using first difference to measure rates of change is pretty freaking
|
||||
noisy! We hope to capture average trends, but it's possible for
|
||||
oscillations and lags and other fun time series problems to impart
|
||||
bias. Using a smoothed average helps address such threats in exchange
|
||||
for new ones. We should fit multiple models with different
|
||||
specifications to make sure our results are robust to this decision.
|
||||
|
||||
Using namespace 4 as a proxy for rules is also noisy and possibly
|
||||
biased. Some wikis use namespace 4 for activities other than norm
|
||||
setting and rule making. We have not found a good systematic way to
|
||||
separate these activities from rules.
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Causality}
|
||||
Our data are observational and not capable of offering strong evidence
|
||||
for causal claims.
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Generalizability}
|
||||
We are studying a lot of Wikis. Our theories are of concern to other
|
||||
kinds of communities (e.g. Reddit, OSM). We don't know if our results
|
||||
generalize to such settings.
|
||||
|
||||
Communities might make rules in response to other kinds of crises
|
||||
(consider instances of harassment). We don't know if our results will
|
||||
generalize to rules created in response to other crises. Maybe
|
||||
governance strategies created in response to newcomers are more
|
||||
damaging to newcomers than governance systems targeted at managing other
|
||||
kinds of crises.
|
||||
|
||||
\subsection{Theory}
|
||||
Our theory is incomplete. Maybe the feedback loop between newcomer
|
||||
influx and rule making dampens itself to a stable equilibria with a
|
||||
sustainable population and institutionalized rules. Maybe communities
|
||||
can identify when governance systems threaten growth and survival and
|
||||
scale them back. Our data and analysis don't have much to say about
|
||||
that.
|
||||
|
||||
\section{Schedule}
|
||||
|
||||
The CHI abstract deadline is September 12.
|
||||
|
||||
The goal is to have a draft of this article written in 5 weeks, by
|
||||
July 31th. This should be doable because our measures are quite
|
||||
straight forward. 2010 Wikia data is already on Hyak and ready to go.
|
||||
The first draft of the paper can be short, but should hit the key
|
||||
points, and have a clear and attractive presentation of results. This
|
||||
will give us over a month to refine and revise.
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{table}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{tabular}[h]{l|l p{6cm}}
|
||||
\toprule
|
||||
Date & Milestone & Description \\
|
||||
\midrule
|
||||
July 30 & Build dataset & Have a data.table with analytic
|
||||
variables. (It is ok if we don't have
|
||||
great data on bots yet) \\
|
||||
July 7 & Results & Fit, interpret, plot (first
|
||||
attempt) models for
|
||||
5 hypotheses. \\
|
||||
July 14 & Draft front matter & Read additional key
|
||||
citations, draft a
|
||||
CHI-style
|
||||
introduction and
|
||||
background section. \\
|
||||
July 20 & Draft for CDSC retreat & Circulate a rough draft for
|
||||
the CDSC collective. \\
|
||||
July 31 & Complete draft & Finish the rest of the draft. Turn over
|
||||
to Mako for feedback.
|
||||
|
||||
\end{tabular}
|
||||
\caption{Weekly milestones}
|
||||
\end{table}
|
||||
|
||||
\label{sec:schedule}
|
||||
|
||||
% bibliography here
|
||||
\printbibliography[title = {References}, heading=secbib]
|
||||
|
||||
\end{document}
|
||||
|
||||
% LocalWords:
|
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Reference in New Issue
Block a user